With the sheer amount of content available at your fingertips, it can be frustrating when the casual fantasy gamer can learn about all your sleepers and targets in your redraft league by reading three articles beforehand. And honestly, as the years have gone by and fantasy football has grown rapidly, I have found it harder and harder to identify guys I like at their price as everyone seems to fairly valued, but this year, much like last year, is shaping up differently. If you follow me on Twitter, you’d know the two guys I recommended my followers get in every league last year were Aaron Jones and Tyler Lockett. Aaron Jones was a hit, and I will never not talk about that, sorry not sorry. And although I chose Lockett due to an expected increase in passing volume, and they ended up throwing the fewest times in the NFL, he still managed to come in at WR16 in PPR leagues which ain’t too shabby for a guy who could be had in the 15th round. But like every “guru” I also had my whiffs, I was all over Royce Freeman last year, and I still would like to know where in the hell Phillip Freakin’ Lindsay materialized from to obliterate my dreams. That’s all last year though, I know what you’re here for and let’s get into some guys who I think are being drafted outrageously low right now. (All ADP data courtesy of FantasyFootballPros)
Geronimo Allison, WR, Packers ADP- 161.8//WR57 The fact that Geronimo can be had in the 13th, behind the likes of Desean Jackson and Marquise Brown, well it’s just plain wrong. The simple truth is when he is healthy, he is the second wideout for Aaron Rodgers, and the simple truth is, that’s an attractive role. This offseason the Packers, didn’t bring in any notable wideouts, let Randall Cobb walk and went out of their way to sign Geronimo’s tender as soon as possible. Geronimo played four full games last year, and in those, he averaged 7.25 targets per game (Lockett averaged 4.7 for reference) with 72.25 yards and a score every other week, a cool 15.975 PPR PPG which would slide him in at WR19 on a per game basis. Some people are worried about MVS or ESB and they shouldn’t be, neither are as well suited to the flanker outside WR position that Geronimo had when he went down and neither have the connection or production with Aaron that he does which is why they didn’t get the looks until he went down; expect the two of them to compete for slot snaps. If he can stay healthy Geronimo should be a high-end WR3 with upside, and if something should happen to Devante Adams, then your inbox would be flooded with trades since you wisely grabbed him in the 13th.
Austin Hooper, TE, Falcons ADP- 125.3//TE9 Last season, Hooper quietly finished just outside the top five at number six, and frankly, I don’t understand why people think this 24-year-old will get worse. Having drafted no new receiving options yet two offensive linemen in the first, and of course getting Devonta Freeman back, there is no reason to believe this offense doesn’t get better; and TE production is often derived from that of their offense. Dirk Koetter is in town as the offensive coordinator and Austin Hooper should be licking his chops. In 2016, Koetter helped Cameron Brate haul in a league-leading eight touchdowns, yeah, Cameron Brate. The year before he helped Austin Seferian-Jenkins score four times in just six full games. And oh yeah, he coached some guy named Tony Gonzalez in his crazy productive final two seasons in Atlanta.
I’ve never been one to advocate taking TE or QB early at all, and there is lots of hype around guys like Hunter Henry, David Njoku, OJ Howard, Evan Engram, and T.J. Hockenson, so take advantage of that, make the unsexy pick later on and grab Austin Hooper midway through the 10th with a grin on your face.
Dak Prescott ADP- 132.5//QB18 I mean c’mon, are we gonna do this every year? First I’d like to say you should rarely take a QB early, and I mean rarely. The difference last season (on a PPG basis) from the QB (Ryan Fitzpatrick) to the QB15 (Jamies Winston), was a negligible 2.9 PPG whereas that of RB5 (Alvin Kamara) and RB15 (Aaron Jones) was a hefty 6.1 PPG; and oh yeah you literally only start one QB. Maybe this is a homer pick but three years in the league and Dak is yet to finish outside of the top ten, but he is still yet to be drafted even close to top ten. After adding offensive lineman Connor McGovern, Randall Cobb and the (hopefully) ageless Jason Witten, and getting a younger mind and former QB Kellen Moore in at offensive coordinator, why do we think Dak will regress at 25 years old in a contract year?
With all that mentioned, it is also worth noting that after bringing in Amari Cooper, Dak was the fourth highest scoring QB the rest of the season. How many QB’s do you know that can run and pass, finish top ten, and never miss a game that you can snag in the 11th round? The answer is none. Draft Dak as your only QB in your standard league and worry about a bye week fill in later, it’s what the waiver wire is for at frankly a pretty unimportant position.
Miles Sanders ADP- 124//RB35 If there is a position where rookies can succeed in their first year, it’s out of the backfield, there isn’t too much of a learning curve for taking the ball and not getting pummeled, you just have to be a little bit better at it to make it in the pros. Many are going to fade my pre-draft RB1 because of the narrative that the Eagles will always use an RBBC, and to be fair they have for quite a while now; but the last time the very same team invested second round or higher capital in a running back, was on some guy named LeSean McCoy, who turned out alright. All that they invested in Jordan Howard, who’s best days are behind him, is a conditional future sixth-round pick, which some teams would trade that for a bag of flaming hot Cheetos. His first year won’t be like that of recent rookie RB’s like his former teammate Saquon, Zeke or Chubb, as he may lack the initial size and power to take over all goal-line duties from Jordan Howard and the other 203 backs in Philly, and Alshon, Dallas Goedert, J.J. Arcega-Whiteside and Zach Ertz should command a huge amount of the red zone touches. But, his ability in the receiving game and rushing ability in a good offense should make him more than worth a tenth round pick sliding right in as a high-end flex with legit RB1 upside.
Quincy Enunwa ADP- 208.8//WR70 This is my favorite guy right now. The Jets did not invest $20 million guaranteed and up to $36 million over four years in this guy to catch two or three balls a game. I watched Darnold and the kid is talented (the Giants should have taken him) people will say he’s trash and that right there is how you know they’ve never seen more than fifteen attempts of his. Last year, Enunwa played in nine full games and in those he managed a respectable seven targets per game and converted those to four catches for 45 yards per game and a score. Those numbers aren’t great but for a 26-year-old guy cemented in the number two spot who can be had for the last pick in a draft that is more than enough.